ARAKAWA CHEMICAL INDUSTRIES,LTD.

4968 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥2,125.00
-0.09%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4968
ARAKAWA CHEMICAL INDUSTRIES,LTD.
Chemicals›Chemicals
¥2,125.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,935.80Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
52/100
Profitability13/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth9/25
Good
Quality radar
52Prof.13/25Ret.12/25Eff.16/25B.Sht11/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,935.80
Near FV
▼ -8.9% against the close used
Model range ¥496.33 – ¥4,072.29
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥496.33Fair value¥1,935.80Bull¥4,072.29
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,054.0052W high ¥2,540.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

ARAKAWA CHEMICAL INDUSTRIES,LTD. closed at ¥2,125.00, 9.8% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,935.80 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 19.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥496.33
-76.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,793.18
+31.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=110.96, BVPS=3125
P/E Fair Value
¥2,219.20
+4.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=110.96, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,111.82
-47.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=110.96, g=10%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,072.29
+91.6%
(EBITDA × 15x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=8.09B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,696.62
+26.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=49.94, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,125.00
-47.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3125, ROE=3.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,125.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.6% | Historical: 10%
Margin of Safety
¥1,377.18
-35.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1836.24, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.