Toyo Gosei Co.,Ltd.

4970 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Standard
¥9,700.00
-3.96%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4970
Toyo Gosei Co.,Ltd.
ChemicalsChemicals
¥9,700.00
Close used for this calculation
¥7,281.17Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
39/100
Profitability10/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency6/25
Growth3/25
Average
Quality radar
39Prof.10/25Ret.12/25Eff.6/25B.Sht11/25Growth3/25

Consensus fair value

¥7,281.17
Above FV
▼ -24.9% against the close used
Model range ¥2,055.92 – ¥8,874.16
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥2,055.92Fair value¥7,281.17Bull¥8,874.16
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥5,560.0052W high ¥18,780.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Toyo Gosei Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥9,700.00, 33.2% above the consensus fair value of ¥7,281.17 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 39/100 — Average. P/E of 28.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥8,874.16
-8.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,142.38
-47.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=339.26, BVPS=3464.29 · outside Graham range (P/E 28.6, P/B 2.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥6,785.20
-30.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=339.26, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,055.92
-78.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=339.26, g=6.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥8,581.94
-11.5%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=8.75B
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,612.76
-62.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3464.29, ROE=10.3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥9,700.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 12% | Historical: -6.1%
Margin of Safety
¥5,200.44
-46.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=6933.91, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.