The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,335.82Fair value¥3,944.21Bull¥6,093.85
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,260.0052W high ¥11,660.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
MEC COMPANY LTD. closed at ¥6,020.00, 52.6% above the consensus fair value of ¥3,944.21 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 22.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,335.82
-77.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,195.45
-46.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=272.14, BVPS=1667.59 · outside Graham range (P/E 22.1, P/B 3.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥5,442.80
-9.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=272.14, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,883.44
-35.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=272.14, g=14.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥6,093.85
+1.2%
(EBITDA × 17.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=6.57B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥5,168.77
-14.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=95.72, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥4,794.32
-20.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1667.59, ROE=17.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥6,020.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.5% | Historical: 14.3%
Margin of Safety
¥2,493.52
-58.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3324.69, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.