OAT Agrio Co.,Ltd.

4979 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Standard
¥2,869.00
-1.31%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4979
OAT Agrio Co.,Ltd.
ChemicalsChemicals
¥2,869.00
Close used for this calculation
¥5,639.98Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
70/100
Profitability15/25
Returns16/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth17/25
Strong
Quality radar
70Prof.15/25Ret.16/25Eff.23/25B.Sht16/25Growth17/25

Consensus fair value

¥5,639.98
Below FV
▲ +96.6% against the close used
Model range ¥2,866.05 – ¥8,865.01
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥2,866.05Fair value¥5,639.98Bull¥8,865.01
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,094.0052W high ¥3,065.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

OAT Agrio Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,869.00, 49.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,639.98 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 70/100 — Strong. P/E of 12.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥8,865.01
+209.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,107.62
+8.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=230.39, BVPS=1862.99
P/E Fair Value
¥4,607.80
+60.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=230.39, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,866.05
-0.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=230.39, g=12.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥6,483.66
+126.0%
(EBITDA × 16.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=4.6B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,237.95
+12.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=59.96, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,446.53
+20.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1862.99, ROE=13.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,869.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.7% | Historical: 12.4%
Margin of Safety
¥4,145.11
+44.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=5526.81, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.