Showa Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd.

4990 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Standard
¥524.00
-2.06%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4990
Showa Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd.
ChemicalsChemicals
¥524.00
Close used for this calculation
¥902.00Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
69/100
Profitability17/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth20/25
Strong
Quality radar
69Prof.17/25Ret.11/25Eff.23/25B.Sht18/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

¥902.00
Below FV
▲ +72.1% against the close used
Model range ¥244.24 – ¥1,173.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥244.24Fair value¥902.00Bull¥1,173.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥463.0052W high ¥579.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Showa Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥524.00, 41.9% below the consensus fair value of ¥902.00 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 69/100 — Strong. P/E of 8.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥812.88
+55.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,082.78
+106.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=58.67, BVPS=888.14
P/E Fair Value
¥1,173.40
+123.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=58.67, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥939.31
+79.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=58.67, g=16%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,038.99
+98.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=724.63M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥540.45
+3.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=10.01, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥244.24
-53.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=888.14, ROE=7.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥524.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -3.9% | Historical: 16%
Margin of Safety
¥767.27
+46.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1023.02, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.