HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD.

4992 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Standard
¥1,874.00
-0.69%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4992
HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD.
Chemicals›Chemicals
¥1,874.00
Close used for this calculation
¥3,221.43Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
70/100
Profitability15/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth17/25
Strong
Quality radar
70Prof.15/25Ret.11/25Eff.23/25B.Sht21/25Growth17/25

Consensus fair value

¥3,221.43
Below FV
▲ +71.9% against the close used
Model range ¥1,544.51 – ¥3,953.58
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,544.51Fair value¥3,221.43Bull¥3,953.58
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,549.0052W high ¥2,245.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

HOKKO CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,874.00, 41.8% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,221.43 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 70/100 — Strong. P/E of 11.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥3,832.15
+104.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,805.77
+49.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=169.9, BVPS=2059.34
P/E Fair Value
¥3,398.00
+81.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=169.9, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,877.40
+0.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=169.9, g=11.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,953.58
+111.0%
(EBITDA × 15.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=6.67B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,479.30
+32.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=45.91, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,544.51
-17.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2059.34, ROE=9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,874.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1% | Historical: 11.1%
Margin of Safety
¥2,508.98
+33.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3345.31, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.