¥705.51
Above FV▼ -29.7% against the close used
Model range ¥422.36 – ¥915.20
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear¥422.36Fair value¥705.51Bull¥915.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥878.0052W high ¥1,030.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
BP Castrol K.K. closed at ¥1,003.00, 42.2% above the consensus fair value of ¥705.51 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 21.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
¥636.78
-36.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥671.53
-33.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=45.76, BVPS=437.99 · outside Graham range (P/E 21.9, P/B 2.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥915.20
-8.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=45.76, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥422.36
-57.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=45.76, g=9.2%
EV/EBITDA
¥737.28
-26.5%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.69B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥586.98
-41.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=46.04, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥469.28
-53.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=437.99, ROE=10.5%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,003.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.4% | Historical: -9.2%
Margin of Safety
¥555.88
-44.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=741.17, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.