Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd.

5019 TSE Energy Oil and Coal Products
TSE Prime
¥1,648.00
-0.15%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

5019
Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd.
EnergyOil and Coal Products
¥1,648.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,476.18Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
57/100
Profitability10/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth17/25
Good
Quality radar
57Prof.10/25Ret.13/25Eff.23/25B.Sht11/25Growth17/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,476.18
Below FV
▲ +50.3% against the close used
Model range ¥458.06 – ¥3,635.79
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥458.06Fair value¥2,476.18Bull¥3,635.79
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,001.0052W high ¥1,660.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,648.00, 33.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,476.18 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 11.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥3,635.79
+120.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,226.53
+35.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=140.38, BVPS=1569.52
P/E Fair Value
¥2,807.60
+70.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=140.38, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,605.95
-2.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=140.38, g=11.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,603.86
-2.7%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=308.17B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥458.06
-72.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=35.93, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,434.99
-12.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1569.52, ROE=9.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,648.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.1% | Historical: -11.4%
Margin of Safety
¥2,167.48
+31.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2889.97, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.