COSMO ENERGY HOLDINGS COMPANY,LIMITED

5021 TSE Energy Oil and Coal Products
TSE Prime
¥4,523.00
-0.85%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

5021
COSMO ENERGY HOLDINGS COMPANY,LIMITED
EnergyOil and Coal Products
¥4,523.00
Close used for this calculation
¥9,794.93Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
62/100
Profitability10/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet9/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth19/25
Good
Quality radar
62Prof.10/25Ret.18/25Eff.25/25B.Sht9/25Growth19/25

Consensus fair value

¥9,794.93
Below FV
▲ +116.6% against the close used
Model range ¥3,062.18 – ¥14,968.14
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥3,062.18Fair value¥9,794.93Bull¥14,968.14
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,433.0052W high ¥4,940.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

COSMO ENERGY HOLDINGS COMPANY,LIMITED closed at ¥4,523.00, 53.8% below the consensus fair value of ¥9,794.93 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 62/100 — Good. P/E of 10.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥14,968.14
+230.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥6,250.88
+38.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=453.06, BVPS=3833.05
P/E Fair Value
¥9,061.20
+100.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=453.06, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥6,596.55
+45.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=453.06, g=14.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥9,404.76
+107.9%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=203.14B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,062.18
-32.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=240.17, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥5,147.24
+13.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3833.05, ROE=12.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥4,523.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.3% | Historical: -14.6%
Margin of Safety
¥7,570.06
+67.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=10093.41, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.