SmartDrive inc.

5137 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Growth
¥299.00
-0.99%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

5137
SmartDrive inc.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥299.00
Close used for this calculation
¥234.64Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
44/100
Profitability10/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet15/25
Efficiency6/25
Growth0/25
Average
Quality radar
44Prof.10/25Ret.13/25Eff.6/25B.Sht15/25Growth0/25

Consensus fair value

¥234.64
Above FV
▼ -21.5% against the close used
Model range ¥90.91 – ¥314.48
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥90.91Fair value¥234.64Bull¥314.48
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥179.0052W high ¥540.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

SmartDrive inc. closed at ¥299.00, 27.4% above the consensus fair value of ¥234.64 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 44/100 — Average. P/E of 24.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥314.48
+5.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥90.91
-69.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=12.1, BVPS=30.36 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.7, P/B 9.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥242.00
-19.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=12.1, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥125.72
-58.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=527.4M
Book Value (P/B)
¥193.41
-35.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=30.36, ROE=47.6%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥299.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥161.85
-45.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=215.8, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.