NISHIKAWA RUBBER CO.,LTD.

5161 TSE Materials Rubber Products
TSE Standard
¥3,470.00
+0.87%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

5161
NISHIKAWA RUBBER CO.,LTD.
MaterialsRubber Products
¥3,470.00
Close used for this calculation
¥5,441.36Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
76/100
Profitability19/25
Returns14/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth25/25
Strong
Quality radar
76Prof.19/25Ret.14/25Eff.25/25B.Sht18/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥5,441.36
Below FV
▲ +56.8% against the close used
Model range ¥3,379.71 – ¥9,874.93
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥3,379.71Fair value¥5,441.36Bull¥9,874.93
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,805.0052W high ¥4,545.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

NISHIKAWA RUBBER CO.,LTD. closed at ¥3,470.00, 36.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,441.36 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 76/100 — Strong. P/E of 11.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥3,637.45
+4.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥4,005.17
+15.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=293.81, BVPS=2426.57
P/E Fair Value
¥5,876.20
+69.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=293.81, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥8,814.30
+154.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=293.81, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥6,594.67
+90.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=15.01B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥9,874.93
+184.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=182.87, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,943.18
+13.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2426.57, ROE=12.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,470.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0% | Historical: 51.1%
Margin of Safety
¥3,379.71
-2.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4506.27, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.