AGC Inc.

5201 TSE Materials Glass and Ceramics Products
TSE Prime
¥5,537.00
+0.09%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

5201
AGC Inc.
MaterialsGlass and Ceramics Products
¥5,537.00
Close used for this calculation
¥6,854.04Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
56/100
Profitability10/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth19/25
Good
Quality radar
56Prof.10/25Ret.12/25Eff.16/25B.Sht18/25Growth19/25

Consensus fair value

¥6,854.04
Below FV
▲ +23.8% against the close used
Model range ¥882.27 – ¥12,475.13
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥882.27Fair value¥6,854.04Bull¥12,475.13
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥4,726.0052W high ¥8,221.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

AGC Inc. closed at ¥5,537.00, 19.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥6,854.04 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 17.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥5,739.80
+3.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,103.97
-7.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=326.2, BVPS=3549.36 · outside Graham range (P/E 17, P/B 1.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥6,524.00
+17.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=326.2, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥4,420.01
-20.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=326.2, g=13.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥12,475.13
+125.3%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=307.26B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,675.62
-51.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=209.85, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥882.27
-84.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3549.36, ROE=4.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥5,537.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.9% | Historical: -13.6%
Margin of Safety
¥4,341.94
-21.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=5789.26, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.