Arisawa Mfg.Co.,Ltd.

5208 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥2,535.00
-2.09%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

5208
Arisawa Mfg.Co.,Ltd.
Chemicals›Chemicals
¥2,535.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,548.55Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
51/100
Profitability13/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet10/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth10/25
Good
Quality radar
51Prof.13/25Ret.10/25Eff.18/25B.Sht10/25Growth10/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,548.55
Near FV
▲ +0.5% against the close used
Model range ¥950.10 – ¥3,512.94
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥950.10Fair value¥2,548.55Bull¥3,512.94
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,557.0052W high ¥2,900.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Arisawa Mfg.Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,535.00, 0.5% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,548.55 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 51/100 — Good. P/E of 16.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,560.84
+1.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=6.3%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,288.38
-9.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=150.57, BVPS=1545.73 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.8, P/B 1.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,011.40
+18.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=150.57, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥950.10
-62.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=150.57, g=6.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,857.64
+12.7%
(EBITDA × 13.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=8.27B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,512.94
+38.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=121.93, r=10%, g=6.3%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,584.37
-37.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1545.73, ROE=10.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,535.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.8% | Historical: 6.3%
Margin of Safety
¥1,965.16
-22.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2620.21, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.