The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,736.79Fair value¥3,642.11Bull¥5,667.49
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,311.0052W high ¥2,933.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
NOVA SYSTEM CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,852.00, 21.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,642.11 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 50/100 — Good. P/E of 17.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,327.69
+16.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,626.07
-7.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=167.65, BVPS=1828.21 · outside Graham range (P/E 17, P/B 1.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,353.00
+17.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=167.65, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥5,029.50
+76.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=167.65, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,879.55
+71.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=395.53M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥5,667.49
+98.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=104.95, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,736.79
-39.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1828.21, ROE=9.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,852.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5% | Historical: 34.2%
Margin of Safety
¥2,326.69
-18.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3102.25, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.