The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,862.54Fair value¥4,296.52Bull¥17,143.50
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,809.0052W high ¥2,503.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
SHINAGAWA REFRA CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,015.00, 53.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,296.52 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 84/100 — Exceptional. P/E of 3.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,862.54
-7.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,488.69
+172.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=571.45, BVPS=2343.02
P/E Fair Value
¥11,429.00
+467.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=571.45, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥17,143.50
+750.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=571.45, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥7,327.67
+263.7%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=20.74B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥4,863.81
+141.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=90.07, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥12,066.57
+498.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2343.02, ROE=26.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,015.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -10% | Historical: 48.9%
Margin of Safety
¥4,695.06
+133.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=6260.08, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.