The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥170.63Fair value¥924.80Bull¥1,761.03
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥601.0052W high ¥684.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Nippon Crucible Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥660.00, 28.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥924.80 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 69/100 — Strong. P/E of 10.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥170.63
-74.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,159.23
+75.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=64.25, BVPS=929.58
P/E Fair Value
¥1,285.00
+94.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=64.25, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,224.61
+85.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=64.25, g=19.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,761.03
+166.8%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=777.64M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥972.97
+47.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=18.02, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥278.87
-57.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=929.58, ROE=7.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥660.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1.9% | Historical: 19.1%
Margin of Safety
¥653.72
-1.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=871.62, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.