The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,566.48Fair value¥2,898.63Bull¥8,852.85
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,813.0052W high ¥4,063.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
NICHIAS CORPORATION closed at ¥3,292.00, 13.6% above the consensus fair value of ¥2,898.63 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 19.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,652.44
-49.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,167.79
-34.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=165.59, BVPS=1261.3 · outside Graham range (P/E 19.9, P/B 2.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,311.80
+0.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=165.59, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,566.48
-52.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=165.59, g=9.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,366.88
+2.3%
(EBITDA × 14.7x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=44.33B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥8,852.85
+168.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=163.94, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,491.07
-24.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1261.3, ROE=13.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,292.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.1% | Historical: 9.5%
Margin of Safety
¥1,783.01
-45.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2377.34, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.