Nippon Denko Co.,Ltd.

5563 TSE Metals Iron and Steel
TSE Prime
¥417.00
-2.11%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

5563
Nippon Denko Co.,Ltd.
MetalsIron and Steel
¥417.00
Close used for this calculation
¥278.72Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
48/100
Profitability14/25
Returns9/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency7/25
Growth15/25
Average
Quality radar
48Prof.14/25Ret.9/25Eff.7/25B.Sht18/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

¥278.72
Above FV
▼ -33.2% against the close used
Model range ¥114.25 – ¥606.55
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥114.25Fair value¥278.72Bull¥606.55
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥304.0052W high ¥547.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Nippon Denko Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥417.00, 49.6% above the consensus fair value of ¥278.72 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 39.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥200.55
-51.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥370.84
-11.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=10.7, BVPS=571.23 · outside Graham range (P/E 39, P/B 0.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥214.00
-48.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=10.7, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥321.00
-23.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=10.7, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥606.55
+45.5%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=8.83B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥153.12
-63.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=12.01, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥114.25
-72.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=571.23, ROE=2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥417.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 16.1% | Historical: -34.6%
Margin of Safety
¥196.35
-52.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=261.8, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.