¥739.55
Above FV▼ -26.6% against the close used
Model range ¥181.09 – ¥1,049.60
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear¥181.09Fair value¥739.55Bull¥1,049.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥937.0052W high ¥1,425.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
Excite Holdings Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,007.00, 36.2% above the consensus fair value of ¥739.55 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 51/100 — Good. P/E of 19.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
¥181.09
-82.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥938.50
-6.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=52.48, BVPS=745.93 · outside Graham range (P/E 19.2, P/B 1.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,049.60
+4.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=52.48, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥396.75
-60.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=52.48, g=7.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥556.66
-44.7%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=734.16M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥401.87
-60.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=31.52, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥447.56
-55.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=745.93, ROE=7.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,007.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.6% | Historical: -7.6%
Margin of Safety
¥542.30
-46.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=723.06, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.