The Japan Steel Works,Ltd.

5631 TSE Industrials Machinery
TSE Prime
¥6,966.00
+1.90%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

5631
The Japan Steel Works,Ltd.
IndustrialsMachinery
¥6,966.00
Close used for this calculation
¥4,623.11Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
38/100
Profitability13/25
Returns4/25
Balance Sheet12/25
Efficiency9/25
Growth6/25
Average
Quality radar
38Prof.13/25Ret.4/25Eff.9/25B.Sht12/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

¥4,623.11
Above FV
▼ -33.6% against the close used
Model range ¥2,187.75 – ¥5,455.94
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥2,187.75Fair value¥4,623.11Bull¥5,455.94
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥6,836.0052W high ¥10,395.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

The Japan Steel Works,Ltd. closed at ¥6,966.00, 50.7% above the consensus fair value of ¥4,623.11 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 38/100 — Average. P/E of 26.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥5,004.06
-28.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8.4%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥4,122.97
-40.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=261.38, BVPS=2890.46 · outside Graham range (P/E 26.7, P/B 2.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥5,227.60
-25.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=261.38, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,187.75
-68.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=261.38, g=8.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥5,455.94
-21.7%
(EBITDA × 14.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=34.36B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥4,965.36
-28.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=91.95, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,529.15
-63.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2890.46, ROE=9.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥6,966.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 11% | Historical: 8.4%
Margin of Safety
¥3,588.66
-48.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4784.88, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.