The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥2,167.42Fair value¥4,662.29Bull¥6,309.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,080.0052W high ¥4,710.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
ARE Holdings,Inc. closed at ¥3,555.00, 23.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,662.29 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 53/100 — Good. P/E of 11.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥5,541.39
+55.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=6.9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,029.27
-14.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=315.49, BVPS=1292.73 · outside Graham range (P/E 11.3, P/B 2.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥6,309.80
+77.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=315.49, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,167.42
-39.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=315.49, g=6.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,002.64
+12.6%
(EBITDA × 13.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=40.07B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥4,272.61
+20.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=125.14, r=10%, g=6.9%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,488.50
-30.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1292.73, ROE=13.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,555.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.7% | Historical: 6.9%
Margin of Safety
¥3,720.12
+4.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4960.15, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.