Kairikiya Co.,Ltd.

5891 TSE Consumer Discretionary Retail Trade
TSE Standard
¥1,681.00
-0.18%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

5891
Kairikiya Co.,Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryRetail Trade
¥1,681.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,123.17Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
37/100
Profitability11/25
Returns9/25
Balance Sheet8/25
Efficiency9/25
Growth6/25
Average
Quality radar
37Prof.11/25Ret.9/25Eff.9/25B.Sht8/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,123.17
Above FV
▼ -33.2% against the close used
Model range ¥322.56 – ¥2,220.85
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥322.56Fair value¥1,123.17Bull¥2,220.85
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,292.0052W high ¥1,874.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Kairikiya Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,681.00, 49.7% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,123.17 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 37/100 — Average. P/E of 32.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥885.72
-47.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=6.1%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,040.02
-38.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=52.62, BVPS=913.59 · outside Graham range (P/E 32, P/B 1.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,052.40
-37.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=52.62, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥322.56
-80.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=52.62, g=6.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,220.85
+32.1%
(EBITDA × 13.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.06B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥631.56
-62.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=23.03, r=10%, g=6.1%
Book Value (P/B)
¥529.88
-68.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=913.59, ROE=5.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,681.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 13.5% | Historical: 6.1%
Margin of Safety
¥744.54
-55.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=992.71, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.