HOKKAN HOLDINGS LIMITED

5902 TSE Metals Metal Products
TSE Prime
¥2,665.00
+0.00%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

5902
HOKKAN HOLDINGS LIMITED
MetalsMetal Products
¥2,665.00
Close used for this calculation
¥4,433.79Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
47/100
Profitability4/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet3/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth13/25
Average
Quality radar
47Prof.4/25Ret.15/25Eff.25/25B.Sht3/25Growth13/25

Consensus fair value

¥4,433.79
Below FV
▲ +66.4% against the close used
Model range ¥1,199.45 – ¥5,437.56
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,199.45Fair value¥4,433.79Bull¥5,437.56
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,140.0052W high ¥2,864.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

HOKKAN HOLDINGS LIMITED closed at ¥2,665.00, 39.9% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,433.79 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 47/100 — Average. P/E of 10.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥4,990.57
+87.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,437.56
+104.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=266.27, BVPS=4935.19
P/E Fair Value
¥5,325.40
+99.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=266.27, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥4,425.38
+66.1%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=10.08B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,199.45
-55.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=94.07, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,833.07
-31.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=4935.19, ROE=5.6%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,665.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.3% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥3,938.38
+47.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=5251.18, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.