ALINCO INCORPORATED

5933 TSE Metals Metal Products
TSE Prime
¥1,102.00
-0.72%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

5933
ALINCO INCORPORATED
MetalsMetal Products
¥1,102.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,022.83Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
57/100
Profitability17/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet5/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth25/25
Good
Quality radar
57Prof.17/25Ret.15/25Eff.20/25B.Sht5/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,022.83
Below FV
▲ +83.6% against the close used
Model range ¥901.64 – ¥3,259.32
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥901.64Fair value¥2,022.83Bull¥3,259.32
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,008.0052W high ¥1,191.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

ALINCO INCORPORATED closed at ¥1,102.00, 45.5% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,022.83 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 12.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,744.93
+58.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,817.31
+64.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=87.91, BVPS=1669.7
P/E Fair Value
¥1,758.20
+59.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=87.91, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,637.30
+139.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=87.91, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,259.32
+195.8%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=4.67B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,374.37
+115.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=43.97, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥901.64
-18.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1669.7, ROE=5.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,102.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.8% | Historical: 40.4%
Margin of Safety
¥1,330.11
+20.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1773.48, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.