CHUGOKUKOGYO CO.,LTD.

5974 TSE Metals Metal Products
TSE Standard
¥836.00
+0.36%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

5974
CHUGOKUKOGYO CO.,LTD.
MetalsMetal Products
¥836.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,263.67Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
68/100
Profitability17/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth23/25
Strong
Quality radar
68Prof.17/25Ret.15/25Eff.23/25B.Sht13/25Growth23/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,263.67
Below FV
▲ +170.8% against the close used
Model range ¥1,001.38 – ¥3,259.44
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,001.38Fair value¥2,263.67Bull¥3,259.44
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥546.0052W high ¥968.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

CHUGOKUKOGYO CO.,LTD. closed at ¥836.00, 63.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,263.67 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 68/100 — Strong. P/E of 8.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,727.73
+226.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,980.48
+136.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=95.92, BVPS=1817.39
P/E Fair Value
¥1,918.40
+129.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=95.92, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,301.12
+175.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=95.92, g=24%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,259.44
+289.9%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=661M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,241.46
+48.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=22.99, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,001.38
+19.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1817.39, ROE=5.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥836.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -4.3% | Historical: 24%
Margin of Safety
¥1,656.65
+98.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2208.87, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.