The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,089.69Fair value¥2,972.27Bull¥6,803.68
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥938.3352W high ¥1,745.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
ERI HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,518.00, 48.9% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,972.27 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 77/100 — Strong. P/E of 10.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,767.15
+82.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,089.69
-28.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=139.41, BVPS=378.55 · outside Graham range (P/E 10.9, P/B 4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,788.20
+83.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=139.41, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥4,182.30
+175.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=139.41, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,082.58
+168.9%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.22B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥6,803.68
+348.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=125.99, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,444.84
+126.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=378.55, ROE=42.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,518.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1.1% | Historical: 64.1%
Margin of Safety
¥1,661.26
+9.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2215.01, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.