ESTIC CORPORATION

6161 TSE Industrials Machinery
TSE Standard
¥1,035.00
-1.24%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

6161
ESTIC CORPORATION
IndustrialsMachinery
¥1,035.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,073.38Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
69/100
Profitability15/25
Returns16/25
Balance Sheet15/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth14/25
Strong
Quality radar
69Prof.15/25Ret.16/25Eff.23/25B.Sht15/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,073.38
Below FV
▲ +100.3% against the close used
Model range ¥1,064.49 – ¥2,549.66
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,064.49Fair value¥2,073.38Bull¥2,549.66
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥982.0052W high ¥1,115.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

ESTIC CORPORATION closed at ¥1,035.00, 50.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,073.38 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 69/100 — Strong. P/E of 8.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,316.78
+123.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,728.28
+67.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=116.72, BVPS=1137.36
P/E Fair Value
¥2,334.40
+125.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=116.72, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,064.49
+2.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=116.72, g=9.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,549.66
+146.3%
(EBITDA × 14.6x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.74B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,564.92
+51.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=28.98, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,336.40
+29.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1137.36, ROE=10.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,035.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -4% | Historical: 9.1%
Margin of Safety
¥1,594.87
+54.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2126.49, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.