The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥496.78Fair value¥1,989.86Bull¥3,178.73
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,401.0052W high ¥2,554.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
JAPAN POST HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,469.00, 24.1% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,989.86 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 30/100 — Weak. P/E of 19.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,420.41
-2.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,178.73
+28.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=129.14, BVPS=3477.46
P/E Fair Value
¥2,582.80
+4.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=129.14, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥910.44
-63.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=129.14, g=7.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,110.62
-55.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=402.83B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥639.04
-74.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=50.12, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥496.78
-79.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3477.46, ROE=4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,469.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.5% | Historical: -7.1%
Margin of Safety
¥2,045.48
-17.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2727.31, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.