JAPAN POST HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd.

6178 TSE Industrials Services
TSE Prime
¥2,469.00
+1.50%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

6178
JAPAN POST HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd.
IndustrialsServices
¥2,469.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,989.86Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
30/100
Profitability8/25
Returns3/25
Balance Sheet3/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth6/25
Weak
Quality radar
30Prof.8/25Ret.3/25Eff.16/25B.Sht3/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,989.86
Above FV
▼ -19.4% against the close used
Model range ¥496.78 – ¥3,178.73
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥496.78Fair value¥1,989.86Bull¥3,178.73
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,401.0052W high ¥2,554.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

JAPAN POST HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,469.00, 24.1% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,989.86 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 30/100 — Weak. P/E of 19.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,420.41
-2.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,178.73
+28.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=129.14, BVPS=3477.46
P/E Fair Value
¥2,582.80
+4.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=129.14, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥910.44
-63.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=129.14, g=7.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,110.62
-55.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=402.83B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥639.04
-74.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=50.12, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥496.78
-79.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3477.46, ROE=4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,469.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.5% | Historical: -7.1%
Margin of Safety
¥2,045.48
-17.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2727.31, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.