Howa Machinery,Ltd.
TSE Standard
¥2,844.00
+21.33%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
6203
Howa Machinery,Ltd.
¥2,844.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,145.59Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
28/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
¥1,145.59
Above FV▼ -59.7% against the close used
Model range ¥174.48 – ¥1,552.68
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥174.48Fair value¥1,145.59Bull¥1,552.68
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,083.0052W high ¥2,844.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Howa Machinery,Ltd. closed at ¥2,844.00, 148.3% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,145.59 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 28/100 — Weak. P/E of 46.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,150.98
-59.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,552.68
-45.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=61.41, BVPS=1744.79 · outside Graham range (P/E 46.3, P/B 1.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,228.20
-56.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=61.41, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥528.13
-81.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=61.41, g=8.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥923.55
-67.5%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.78B
Book Value (P/B)
¥174.48
-93.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1744.79, ROE=3.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,844.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 18.5% | Historical: -8.6%
Margin of Safety
¥982.96
-65.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1310.62, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.