The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥539.46Fair value¥1,156.59Bull¥1,702.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥573.0052W high ¥860.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
NPC Incorporated closed at ¥666.00, 42.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,156.59 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 76/100 — Strong. P/E of 10.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,217.94
+82.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥831.47
+24.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=61.36, BVPS=500.75
P/E Fair Value
¥1,227.20
+84.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=61.36, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥872.54
+31.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=61.36, g=14.2%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,702.20
+155.6%
(EBITDA × 17.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.15B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥539.46
-19.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=9.99, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥863.80
+29.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=500.75, ROE=12.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥666.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1.2% | Historical: 14.2%
Margin of Safety
¥819.15
+23.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1092.2, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.