CONVUM Ltd.

6265 TSE Industrials Machinery
TSE Standard
¥3,055.00
-0.33%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

6265
CONVUM Ltd.
IndustrialsMachinery
¥3,055.00
Close used for this calculation
¥3,200.27Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
60/100
Profitability14/25
Returns5/25
Balance Sheet25/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth11/25
Good
Quality radar
60Prof.14/25Ret.5/25Eff.16/25B.Sht25/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

¥3,200.27
Near FV
▲ +4.8% against the close used
Model range ¥638.80 – ¥4,375.70
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥638.80Fair value¥3,200.27Bull¥4,375.70
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,283.0052W high ¥3,840.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

CONVUM Ltd. closed at ¥3,055.00, 4.5% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,200.27 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 60/100 — Good. P/E of 18.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥4,375.70
+43.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,804.14
+24.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=162.11, BVPS=3967.53
P/E Fair Value
¥3,242.20
+6.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=162.11, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,841.57
-39.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=162.11, g=11.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,189.89
+4.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=489.29M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥638.80
-79.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=50.1, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥680.15
-77.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3967.53, ROE=4.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,055.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.4% | Historical: -11.4%
Margin of Safety
¥2,855.51
-6.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3807.35, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.