¥388.19
Above FV▼ -53.5% against the close used
Model range ¥99.15 – ¥484.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear¥99.15Fair value¥388.19Bull¥484.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥745.0052W high ¥906.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
KAWATA MFG. CO.,LTD. closed at ¥835.00, 115.1% above the consensus fair value of ¥388.19 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 44/100 — Average. P/E of 157.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
¥99.15
-88.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥475.27
-43.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=5.29, BVPS=1897.73 · outside Graham range (P/E 157.8, P/B 0.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥105.80
-87.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=5.29, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥158.70
-81.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=5.29, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥481.49
-42.3%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=868.9M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥484.40
-42.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=37.99, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥189.77
-77.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1897.73, ROE=1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥835.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 35.7% | Historical: -48.9%
Margin of Safety
¥170.05
-79.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=226.74, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.