The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,665.35Fair value¥2,572.69Bull¥3,690.30
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥668.0052W high ¥2,200.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
NIPPON GEAR CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,213.00, 52.9% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,572.69 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 84/100 — Exceptional. P/E of 9.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,521.55
+107.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,679.65
+38.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=123.01, BVPS=1019.33
P/E Fair Value
¥2,460.20
+102.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=123.01, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,690.30
+204.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=123.01, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,405.76
+180.8%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.7B
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,771.08
+46.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1019.33, ROE=13%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,213.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.5% | Historical: 56%
Margin of Safety
¥1,665.35
+37.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2220.47, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.