The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥60.08Fair value¥2,029.70Bull¥2,708.10
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,119.0052W high ¥5,250.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
ORIENTAL CHAIN MFG. CO.,LTD. closed at ¥3,855.00, 89.9% above the consensus fair value of ¥2,029.70 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 41/100 — Average. P/E of 42.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥60.08
-98.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,681.26
-56.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=90.27, BVPS=1391.7 · outside Graham range (P/E 42.7, P/B 2.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,805.40
-53.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=90.27, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,708.10
-29.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=90.27, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,668.95
-30.8%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=260.93M
Book Value (P/B)
¥139.17
-96.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1391.7, ROE=6.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,855.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 17.4% | Historical: 45.5%
Margin of Safety
¥886.69
-77.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1182.25, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.