The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,067.54Fair value¥2,985.82Bull¥4,252.88
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,141.0052W high ¥1,470.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
TRINITY INDUSTRIAL CORPORATION closed at ¥1,217.00, 59.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,985.82 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 78/100 — Strong. P/E of 7.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,753.02
+126.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,829.96
+132.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=166.71, BVPS=2135.09
P/E Fair Value
¥3,334.20
+174.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=166.71, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,725.45
+41.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=166.71, g=10.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,252.88
+249.5%
(EBITDA × 15.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=4.52B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,621.06
+197.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=67.06, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,067.54
-12.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2135.09, ROE=8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,217.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -6.8% | Historical: 10.4%
Margin of Safety
¥2,229.30
+83.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2972.39, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.