Mars Group Holdings Corporation

6419 TSE Industrials Machinery
TSE Prime
¥3,200.00
+0.00%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

6419
Mars Group Holdings Corporation
IndustrialsMachinery
¥3,200.00
Close used for this calculation
¥6,957.65Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
86/100
Profitability25/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet23/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth25/25
Exceptional
Quality radar
86Prof.25/25Ret.13/25Eff.25/25B.Sht23/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥6,957.65
Below FV
▲ +117.4% against the close used
Model range ¥2,434.78 – ¥10,797.60
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥2,434.78Fair value¥6,957.65Bull¥10,797.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,783.0052W high ¥3,335.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Mars Group Holdings Corporation closed at ¥3,200.00, 54.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥6,957.65 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 86/100 — Exceptional. P/E of 8.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥5,997.55
+87.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥6,128.37
+91.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=359.92, BVPS=4637.68
P/E Fair Value
¥7,198.40
+125.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=359.92, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥10,797.60
+237.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=359.92, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥9,153.58
+186.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=9.38B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥8,104.32
+153.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=150.08, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,434.78
-23.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=4637.68, ROE=8.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,200.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -4% | Historical: 37.6%
Margin of Safety
¥4,831.08
+51.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=6441.44, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.