HODEN SEIMITSU KAKO KENKYUSHO CO.,LTD.

6469 TSE Industrials Machinery
TSE Standard
¥2,644.00
-3.04%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

6469
HODEN SEIMITSU KAKO KENKYUSHO CO.,LTD.
IndustrialsMachinery
¥2,644.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,758.61Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
41/100
Profitability12/25
Returns9/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency4/25
Growth6/25
Average
Quality radar
41Prof.12/25Ret.9/25Eff.4/25B.Sht16/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,758.61
Above FV
▼ -33.5% against the close used
Model range ¥843.76 – ¥2,580.71
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥843.76Fair value¥1,758.61Bull¥2,580.71
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,680.0052W high ¥4,410.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

HODEN SEIMITSU KAKO KENKYUSHO CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,644.00, 50.3% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,758.61 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 41/100 — Average. P/E of 34.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,580.71
-2.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,187.74
-55.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=77.07, BVPS=813.54 · outside Graham range (P/E 34.3, P/B 3.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,541.40
-41.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=77.07, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥974.16
-63.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=77.07, g=12.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,514.11
-42.7%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.99B
Book Value (P/B)
¥843.76
-68.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=813.54, ROE=10.3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,644.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 14.4% | Historical: -12.6%
Margin of Safety
¥1,327.46
-49.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1769.95, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.