The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥3,946.82Fair value¥8,548.65Bull¥13,817.96
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥7,700.0052W high ¥16,640.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
SINFONIA TECHNOLOGY CO.,LTD. closed at ¥11,330.00, 32.5% above the consensus fair value of ¥8,548.65 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 22.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,946.82
-65.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥6,368.42
-43.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=513.87, BVPS=3507.74 · outside Graham range (P/E 22.1, P/B 3.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥10,277.40
-9.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=513.87, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥13,817.96
+22.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=513.87, g=26.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥13,524.12
+19.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=21.71B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥8,381.93
-26.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=155.22, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥8,944.74
-21.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3507.74, ROE=16.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥11,330.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.5% | Historical: 26.9%
Margin of Safety
¥5,148.16
-54.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=6864.21, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.