Orchestra Holdings Inc.
TSE Prime
¥1,124.00
+0.63%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
6533
Orchestra Holdings Inc.
¥1,124.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,430.70Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
58/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
¥1,430.70
Below FV▲ +27.3% against the close used
Model range ¥153.34 – ¥1,779.25
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥153.34Fair value¥1,430.70Bull¥1,779.25
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥745.0052W high ¥1,320.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Orchestra Holdings Inc. closed at ¥1,124.00, 21.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,430.70 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 13.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,319.50
+17.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=1.9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,063.17
-5.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=84.92, BVPS=591.58 · outside Graham range (P/E 13.2, P/B 1.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,698.40
+51.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=84.92, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥162.20
-85.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=84.92, g=1.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,779.25
+58.3%
(EBITDA × 11x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.81B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥153.34
-86.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=12.03, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥845.11
-24.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=591.58, ROE=13%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,124.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 1.6% | Historical: 1.9%
Margin of Safety
¥1,020.27
-9.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1360.36, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.