The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥408.41Fair value¥1,469.71Bull¥1,785.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,337.5052W high ¥1,859.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
NIHON KOHDEN CORPORATION closed at ¥1,540.00, 4.8% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,469.71 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 17.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,766.71
+14.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,502.43
-2.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=89.25, BVPS=1124.09 · outside Graham range (P/E 17.3, P/B 1.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,785.00
+15.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=89.25, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,007.63
-34.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=89.25, g=11.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,307.31
-15.1%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=23.5B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥408.41
-73.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=32.03, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥818.98
-46.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1124.09, ROE=8.1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,540.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.2% | Historical: -11.3%
Margin of Safety
¥1,263.54
-18.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1684.71, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.