The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥2,868.42Fair value¥5,609.30Bull¥8,111.70
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,973.0052W high ¥4,700.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
ESPEC CORP. closed at ¥3,815.00, 32.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,609.30 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 71/100 — Strong. P/E of 14.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥5,366.98
+40.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥4,177.42
+9.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=270.39, BVPS=2868.42
P/E Fair Value
¥5,407.80
+41.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=270.39, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥8,111.70
+112.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=270.39, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥7,459.11
+95.5%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=9.04B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥6,200.90
+62.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=114.83, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,868.42
-24.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2868.42, ROE=10%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,815.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.4% | Historical: 32.5%
Margin of Safety
¥3,738.05
-2.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4984.07, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.