The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥2,430.57Fair value¥3,473.49Bull¥4,773.09
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,008.0052W high ¥4,610.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
OPTEX GROUP Company,Limited closed at ¥3,045.00, 12.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,473.49 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 16.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,468.49
+13.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,550.59
-16.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=185.16, BVPS=1561.54 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.5, P/B 2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,703.20
+21.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=185.16, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,790.36
-8.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=185.16, g=15.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,773.09
+56.8%
(EBITDA × 17.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=10.02B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,025.51
-0.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=56.03, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,537.50
-16.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1561.54, ROE=12.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,045.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.5% | Historical: 15.1%
Margin of Safety
¥2,430.57
-20.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3240.76, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.