The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥956.29Fair value¥3,373.65Bull¥7,328.83
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,233.0052W high ¥3,995.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
AVAL DATA CORPORATION closed at ¥3,525.00, 4.5% above the consensus fair value of ¥3,373.65 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 50/100 — Good. P/E of 38.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥7,328.83
+107.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,678.48
-24.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=91.36, BVPS=3490.1 · outside Graham range (P/E 38.6, P/B 1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,827.20
-48.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=91.36, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,005.35
-43.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=91.36, g=22%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,460.34
-58.6%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=885.71M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,276.40
-63.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=100.11, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥956.29
-72.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3490.1, ROE=2.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,525.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 16% | Historical: -22%
Margin of Safety
¥2,958.63
-16.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3944.84, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.