¥873.05
Above FV▼ -38.2% against the close used
Model range ¥295.25 – ¥1,988.32
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear¥295.25Fair value¥873.05Bull¥1,988.32
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,323.0052W high ¥1,632.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
KEL CORPORATION closed at ¥1,413.00, 61.8% above the consensus fair value of ¥873.05 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 46/100 — Average. P/E of 48.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
¥542.03
-61.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,171.45
-17.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=28.92, BVPS=2108.96 · outside Graham range (P/E 48.9, P/B 0.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥578.40
-59.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=28.92, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥867.60
-38.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=28.92, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,988.32
+40.7%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.49B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,019.69
-27.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=79.98, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥295.25
-79.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2108.96, ROE=1.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,413.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 19.2% | Historical: -38.3%
Margin of Safety
¥572.97
-59.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=763.96, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.