The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥2,527.81Fair value¥5,186.33Bull¥8,915.89
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,380.0052W high ¥4,200.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
NIPPON CERAMIC CO.,LTD. closed at ¥3,605.00, 30.5% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,186.33 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 84/100 — Exceptional. P/E of 11.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,527.81
-29.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥4,043.88
+12.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=324.59, BVPS=2239.13
P/E Fair Value
¥6,491.80
+80.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=324.59, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥8,299.77
+130.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=324.59, g=25.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥6,293.91
+74.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=7.55B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥8,915.89
+147.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=165.11, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥4,702.17
+30.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2239.13, ROE=14.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,605.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.9% | Historical: 25.6%
Margin of Safety
¥3,265.87
-9.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4354.5, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.