The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥637.37Fair value¥3,400.23Bull¥5,188.35
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,090.0052W high ¥2,566.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
THE KINKI SHARYO CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,358.00, 30.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,400.23 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 47/100 — Average. P/E of 10.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥4,279.30
+81.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,188.35
+120.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=228.32, BVPS=5240
P/E Fair Value
¥4,566.40
+93.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=228.32, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,011.54
+27.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=228.32, g=13.2%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,618.60
-31.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.11B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥637.37
-73.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=49.99, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,122.86
-52.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=5240, ROE=4.5%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,358.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1.9% | Historical: -13.2%
Margin of Safety
¥3,508.51
+48.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4678.02, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.