The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,198.13Fair value¥2,129.70Bull¥3,356.03
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥976.0052W high ¥1,468.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
UP GARAGE GROUP Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,377.00, 35.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,129.70 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 73/100 — Strong. P/E of 14.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,203.29
+60.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,198.13
-13.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=98.69, BVPS=646.48 · outside Graham range (P/E 14, P/B 2.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,973.80
+43.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=98.69, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,705.36
+23.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=98.69, g=17.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,356.03
+143.7%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.48B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,970.49
+43.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=36.49, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,616.20
+17.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=646.48, ROE=16%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,377.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.3% | Historical: 17.3%
Margin of Safety
¥1,343.81
-2.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1791.74, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.