The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥622.82Fair value¥2,147.27Bull¥3,530.26
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,200.5052W high ¥2,909.50
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
KOITO MANUFACTURING CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,599.00, 21.0% above the consensus fair value of ¥2,147.27 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 43.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,095.76
+19.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,781.31
-31.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=60.23, BVPS=2341.44 · outside Graham range (P/E 43.2, P/B 1.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,204.60
-53.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=60.23, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,141.96
-56.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=60.23, g=19%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,530.26
+35.8%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=97.13B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥712.45
-72.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=55.88, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥622.82
-76.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2341.44, ROE=2.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,599.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 17.5% | Historical: -19%
Margin of Safety
¥1,520.42
-41.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2027.22, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.