The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥823.16Fair value¥3,066.39Bull¥4,079.43
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,310.0052W high ¥2,925.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
ARAYA INDUSTRIAL CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,737.00, 10.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,066.39 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 17.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,806.28
+39.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,595.59
+31.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=159.55, BVPS=3601.32
P/E Fair Value
¥3,191.00
+16.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=159.55, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,965.66
-28.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=159.55, g=12.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,155.76
-21.2%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.8B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥4,079.43
+49.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=319.96, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥823.16
-69.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3601.32, ROE=4.6%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,737.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.1% | Historical: -12.3%
Margin of Safety
¥2,648.22
-3.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3530.96, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.