The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥574.66Fair value¥1,547.10Bull¥2,129.86
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥692.0052W high ¥887.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Mercuria Holdings Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥796.00, 48.5% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,547.10 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 53/100 — Good. P/E of 9.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,129.86
+167.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=6.6%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,346.58
+69.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=87.07, BVPS=925.58
P/E Fair Value
¥1,741.40
+118.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=87.07, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥574.66
-27.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=87.07, g=6.6%
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥688.81
-13.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=21.97, r=10%, g=6.6%
Book Value (P/B)
¥809.88
+1.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=925.58, ROE=9.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥796.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -3.6% | Historical: 6.6%
Margin of Safety
¥1,304.46
+63.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1739.28, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.